Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.003250 0.003408 0.003570 0.003747 0.003937 0.004134 0.004354
2025-05-11 0.002957 0.003191 0.003439 0.003724 0.004041 0.004386 0.004789
2025-05-18 0.002765 0.003041 0.003342 0.003696 0.004104 0.004560 0.005114
2025-05-25 0.002671 0.002985 0.003334 0.003755 0.004251 0.004823 0.005538
2025-06-01 0.002555 0.002892 0.003274 0.003743 0.004308 0.004975 0.005831
2025-06-08 0.002447 0.002799 0.003205 0.003713 0.004336 0.005087 0.006072
2025-06-15 0.002335 0.002697 0.003119 0.003654 0.004322 0.005140 0.006238
2025-06-22 0.002240 0.002609 0.003045 0.003604 0.004314 0.005198 0.006407
2025-06-29 0.002180 0.002560 0.003015 0.003606 0.004368 0.005334 0.006681
2025-07-06 0.002073 0.002450 0.002904 0.003501 0.004279 0.005278 0.006693
2025-07-13 0.002025 0.002410 0.002880 0.003504 0.004328 0.005403 0.006955
2025-07-20 0.002001 0.002400 0.002891 0.003552 0.004437 0.005612 0.007341
2025-07-27 0.001940 0.002341 0.002839 0.003516 0.004434 0.005669 0.007516
2025-08-03 0.001889 0.002293 0.002799 0.003494 0.004448 0.005749 0.007729
2025-08-10 0.001839 0.002245 0.002758 0.003470 0.004456 0.005820 0.007929
2025-08-17 0.001825 0.002243 0.002776 0.003523 0.004574 0.006050 0.008379
2025-08-24 0.001786 0.002206 0.002747 0.003512 0.004600 0.006147 0.008630
2025-08-31 0.001742 0.002163 0.002708 0.003485 0.004600 0.006206 0.008823
2025-09-07 0.001691 0.002108 0.002651 0.003430 0.004559 0.006201 0.008912
2025-09-14 0.001645 0.002059 0.002601 0.003385 0.004530 0.006211 0.009024
2025-09-21 0.001619 0.002036 0.002586 0.003387 0.004569 0.006327 0.009314
2025-09-28 0.001559 0.001965 0.002503 0.003290 0.004458 0.006207 0.009205
2025-10-05 0.001536 0.001945 0.002489 0.003293 0.004496 0.006319 0.009493